Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.053408 0.062265 0.071985 0.083425 0.096499 0.110953 0.128122
2025-03-16 0.039207 0.050587 0.064236 0.081730 0.103468 0.129492 0.162900
2025-03-23 0.032239 0.045448 0.062555 0.086136 0.117566 0.157753 0.212722
2025-03-30 0.026034 0.039794 0.058898 0.087001 0.126849 0.180807 0.258758
2025-04-06 0.020712 0.034141 0.054025 0.085066 0.131614 0.197959 0.298552
2025-04-13 0.016848 0.029787 0.050114 0.083613 0.136441 0.215259 0.339986
2025-04-20 0.015003 0.028210 0.050062 0.087801 0.149945 0.246333 0.404467
2025-04-27 0.013310 0.026533 0.049501 0.090940 0.161956 0.276105 0.469636
2025-05-04 0.011088 0.023463 0.046048 0.088630 0.164578 0.291046 0.512525
2025-05-11 0.009488 0.021239 0.043701 0.087821 0.169459 0.309869 0.563122
2025-05-18 0.007959 0.018847 0.040642 0.085212 0.170704 0.322441 0.604038
2025-05-25 0.006804 0.017003 0.038332 0.083641 0.173531 0.337811 0.650841
2025-06-01 0.006031 0.015875 0.037343 0.084632 0.181487 0.363436 0.718800
2025-06-08 0.005078 0.014133 0.034787 0.082064 0.182203 0.375819 0.763823
2025-06-15 0.004739 0.013815 0.035294 0.086029 0.196468 0.415026 0.862180
2025-06-22 0.004216 0.012918 0.034340 0.086657 0.203865 0.441566 0.938529
2025-06-29 0.003611 0.011664 0.032333 0.084610 0.205301 0.456354 0.993112
2025-07-06 0.003124 0.010624 0.030667 0.083103 0.207696 0.473206 1.053054
2025-07-13 0.002962 0.010501 0.031311 0.087236 0.223185 0.518477 1.174214
2025-07-20 0.002766 0.010233 0.031530 0.090339 0.236609 0.560435 1.291600
2025-07-27 0.002384 0.009277 0.029725 0.088035 0.237033 0.574369 1.351006
2025-08-03 0.002104 0.008592 0.028558 0.087226 0.240940 0.596222 1.428949
2025-08-10 0.001806 0.007763 0.026824 0.084631 0.240117 0.607335 1.484214